Planned

Predictions and ranges (Planned)

Planned page: how an entered prediction becomes a percentage range, how ranges are weighted, and how boundaries are handled.

This page is planned. The content is not written yet.

Reader questions this page will answer

  • How does the interface turn an entered prediction into a percentage range?
  • How wide are the ranges, and is the width the same for every market?
  • How does the market derive the weight of a range from the final result?
  • Why do two different predictions inside the same range receive the same weight per unit of stake?
  • How are rounding and boundaries handled when a prediction sits between two ranges?

Planned diagrams

  • A sketch of a submitted prediction mapping into a percentage range.
  • A comparison of two ranges at different distances from the final result.

TBC before publication: the range width, weight parameters and rounding rules that apply to live markets.

Your first prediction

The current testnet flow for Base Sepolia and Solana Devnet: preparing assets, submitting a prediction, and checking the result.

Round lifecycle and timing (Planned)

Planned page: round states, participation deadlines, the challenge window and finalization.

On this page

Reader questions this page will answerPlanned diagrams